In reality 54% of Russians Are Against “Putin for Life”

In reality 54% of Russians Are Against “Putin for Life”

The results of a representative survey across all of Russia, conducted between June 16 and June 25, 2020, have shown the people’s real opinion on Vladimir Putin and the emotional state of the citizens of the world’s largest country.

The results of a representative survey across all of Russia, conducted between June 16 and June 25, 2020, have shown the people’s real opinion on Vladimir Putin and the emotional state of the citizens of the world’s largest country.

Brief resume:

The results of the OMF survey show that the emotional state of Russian citizens is utterly fragile with unpredicted consequences.

Today Vladimir Putin doesn`t elicit hope in the masses as he did 6 ago after the annexation of Crimea: only 45,2% of Russians live in with hope for tomorrow, the opinion poll showed.

54% of Russian citizens over 18 do not want to see Vladimir Putin to stay President for another 16 years. Only a third of them support the President`s confrontational policy towards Ukraine.

These were the only two direct questions asked in the poll which started on June, 16-th and finished on June, 25-th, the opening day of the all-Russia plebiscite on constitutional amendments that could allow President Vladimir Putin stay in power until 2036 started.

Open Mind Foundation studies the impact of mass emotions on political and social activity of citizens in different countries. The researchers monitor the level of three basic mass emotions: hope for tomorrow, fear of tomorrow and humiliation caused by the conditions the people live in.

Method and sample.

The sample consisted of 1600 respondents, all over 18 years of age.

The survey was done over the phone by dialing random numbers. Mobile phones and landlines were equally represented. The survey was representative of the country’s demographics based on gender, age, region, and type of dwelling, town\village. The margin of error was less than 3%. OMF hired the “Independent Research Agency”, a private company, to conduct the interviews, and specialists of Sergey Belanovsky’s independent research group to assist in data analyzes. The Russian sociologist Sergey Belanovsky predicted the uprising in Moscow’s in 2012.

Comparison of the emotional state of Russians and Ukrainians

At first glance, when comparing the emotional state of Russians and Ukrainians, there is little emotional difference between the two neighboring countries which are currently in an undeclared war with each other.

The emotional state of Russians and Ukrainians Russia
16th-25th June
1600 respondents
Ukraine
22nd-26th June
600 respondents
Among the emotions you feel, which one prevails today? % of all respondents % of all respondents
Hope for tomorrow 45,2 49,5
Fear of tomorrow 27,3 27,3
Humiliation caused by the conditions you live in 27,5 23,2

At the beginning of 2020 (February-March), on average, 70% of Ukrainians lived with hope for the coming day. Their confidence in the future dropped suddenly with the onset of the coronavirus pandemic and the subsequent quarantine in the country. Nonetheless, Ukraine’s citizens are still more hopeful for the future than Russians.

The emotional state of women in both countries was almost identical at the end of June. However, Russian men are in a much more negative state than Ukrainians. Their levels of hope are 10 points lower than that of their neighbors to the west. Russian men were much more likely to say they felt humiliated by the conditions they live in.

According to the results of our survey, men were more likely than women to disapprove of Vladimir Putin’s policy towards Ukraine. 64% of men do not want Putin to remain in power, which is a third more than among women. China remembers its Century of Humiliation all too well. What will come of the humiliation Russian men are experiencing today?

The OMF studies suggest that in order to have a stable society three out of four citizens (75%) have to live with hope for tomorrow.

The emotional state of Russian and Ukrainian men

The emotional state of Russian and Ukrainian women

About the author of the research:

Savik Shuster - the president of the Open Mind Foundation, war reporter, researcher, writer, the author of the most popular political talk show in Ukraine and Russia with unique sociological format.

Contacts to get detailed information:

Ekaterina Vasina, executive producer of the research

Mob.tel. +38 098 8108518, email: [email protected]

Basic results of the survey in Russian Federation conducted from 16 to 25-th June

Would you like Vladimir Putin to remain in power until 2036? 18 - 29 years-old 30 - 44 years-old 45 - 60 years-old 61 years-old and older
Total 100,0% 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Yes 14,5% 24,1% 18,8% 21,7%
No 64,4% 47,1% 52,0% 55,3%
Hard to say 21,1% 28,8% 29,2% 23,1%
Do you support President Putin’s policy towards Ukraine? All respondents Men Women
Total 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Yes 30,0% 28,2% 31,8%
No 31,6% 38,7% 25,0%
Hard to say 38,4% 33,1% 43,2%
Ages Total 18 - 29 years-old 30 - 44 years-old 45 - 60 years-old 61 years-old and older
Do you support President Putin’s policy towards Ukraine?
Yes 30,0% 22,6% 29,7% 31,0% 34,4%
No 31,6% 45,2% 30,5% 25,7% 29,3%
Hard to say 38,4% 32,2% 39,8% 43,3% 36,3%
Among the emotions you feel, which one prevails today? All respondents
Hope for tomorrow 45,2%
Fear of tomorrow 27,3%
Humiliation caused by the conditions you live in 27,5%
What is the source of your hope?
(each respondent could choose up to three sources)
% of all respondents
My income (my family´s income) allows me to support myself and my family. 5,6%
The people around me have become kinder and more responsive to the pain of others. 8,6%
President Putin is leading the country in the right direction 7,4%
The government of the country has taken the right approach to dealing with the coronavirus crisis. 10,7%
I hope that people will vote for amendments to the Constitution, so Putin can remain in power for a long time and protect Russia from chaos. 8,6%
I hope that people will begin to mass protest and achieve democratic changes in the country. 5,9%
Other source. (Hope for tomorrow) 3,2%
What is the source of your fear?
(each respondent could choose up to three sources)
% of all respondents
I'm afraid of me or one of my relatives getting coronavirus. 4,7%
Due to the coronavirus, my family's income has rapidly decreased and therefore I experience fear of tomorrow. 8,9%
Our life situation will worsen because during the coronavirus crisis we get no support from the president and the government, and local authorities can not cope with the crisis. 6,1%
I am afraid that after constitutional amendments Putin will remain in power for a long time, which will lead to stagnation and dictatorship. 7,3%
I am afraid that the coronavirus crisis will cause serious socio-political protests in Russia that will plunge the country into chaos. 5,6%
I am afraid that people will silently tolerate the government that acts only in its own interests. 8,2%
I am afraid that without Putin, external governance will return to Russia, as in the time of Yeltsin. 1,4%
Other source. (Fear of tomorrow) 0,7%
What is the source of your humiliation?
(each respondent could choose up to three sources)
% of all respondents
I feel humiliated by corrupted authorities who continue to take bribes even during the epidemic. 8,8%
I feel humiliated because the president is isolating himself in the bunker and cares only about himself and his inner circle. 2,6%
I feel humiliated by the submissivness of people that accept handouts from the government and do not fight for their rights. 7,7%
I feel humiliated by the constant lies of the authorities. 10,9%
I feel humiliated because liberal opposition cannot agree among themselves, and thus only strengthen the power of the president. 0,3%
I feel humiliated by liberal attacks on Putin, it´s all talk and they have taken no action in the last 30 years. 1,7%
I feel humiliated that during the crisis Russia spends millions to help other countries, and lets it own citizens live in poverty. 10,4%
Other source. (Humiliation because of the conditions you live in) 0,5%
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